The US economy is pulling off something historic


Olde Hornet

Well-Known Member

The US economy is on the verge of an extremely rare achievement.

Economic growth in the first half of the year was solid, with the economy expanding a robust 2.8% annualized rate in the second quarter, according to fresh Commerce Department figures released Thursday, which are adjusted for inflation and seasonal swings.

Stocks surged in the morning after the economy’s powerful show of resilience, but later lost steam and closed the day mixed. The Dow rose 81 points, or 0.2%, after jumping more than 500 points earlier in the session. The S&P 500 fell 0.5% and the Nasdaq Composite lost 0.9%. That comes after the benchmark index and tech-heavy Nasdaq on Wednesday logged their worst day since 2022.

Gross domestic product, the broadest measure of economic output, was much stronger in the second quarter than economists had predicted. The GDP report showed that businesses are continuing to invest and that consumers are still opening their wallets. That’s key, because consumer spending is America’s economic engine, accounting for about two-thirds of US economic output.

As the economy continued to expand from April through June, inflation resumed a downward trend and seems to be on track to slowing further toward the Federal Reserve’s 2% target.

America’s economy is about to stick what’s called a “soft landing,” which is when inflation returns to the Fed’s target without a recession — a feat that’s only happened once, during the 1990s, according to some economists.

The latest GDP report showed that a key gauge of consumer demand picked up in the second quarter to an annual rate of 2.9%, matching the rate in the fourth quarter of 2023 for the strongest pace in two years. A measure of business investment also strengthened in the April-through-June period.
 
It is very noticeable how those that claimed their portfolios were doing so well under Trump are unwilling to say they are doing just as well or better under Biden. Some rebalancing may have been required, but the Biden economic policies are paying off. If the economic cycle skips a recession that increases the chance portfolios will continue to grow.
 
There is no reason the Democratic Party should not own the economy issue. They have to do better at branding. It makes no sense to concede the issue.

Bill Clinton claim: Democratic presidents have created 50 million new jobs since 1989 compared to only 1 million for Republican presidents​

“Since the end of the Cold War in 1989, America has created about 51 million new jobs. What's the score? Democrats 50, Republicans 1.”

This is correct. Since 1989, more than 51 million jobs have been created in the U.S., according to data from the Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis. That data, examining total non-farm workers, shows about 50 million of those jobs were created under the presidencies of Bill Clinton, Barack Obama and Joe Biden, compared to about 1 million created under the presidencies of George H.W. Bush, George W. Bush and Donald Trump.

Those numbers vary slightly depending on whether you give the incoming or outgoing president credit for January figures as the new president is sworn in, and which dataset is used. Jobs data from the Bureau of Labor Statistics is similar, showing a split of roughly 49 million to 2 million.

But the numbers don’t tell the whole story. Economists say a variety of factors outside the control of any president play into job creation or loss.

 
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